Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Peterboro
22.6%
Draw
30.2%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Peterboro
vs
1.24
Luton
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).