Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.2%
Werder Bremen
19.9%
Draw
16.9%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Werder Bremen
vs
1.21
Dresden
Markets
BTTS64.7%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.549.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
1-0
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-1
4.6%
4-0
3.8%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).