Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Sp Gijon
25.1%
Draw
26.4%
Sabadell
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Sp Gijon
vs
1.07
Sabadell
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).