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24 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.2%
Aldershot
21.9%
Draw
23.9%
Wealdstone

Expected Goals (xG)

2.19

Aldershot

vs
1.42

Wealdstone

Markets

BTTS68.1%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.569.9%
Over 3.548.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.2%
1-1
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
0-0
3.4%
0-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).