Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.5%
Cardiff
26.9%
Draw
50.5%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Cardiff
vs
1.61
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).