Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Hitchin Town
30.8%
Draw
32.6%
Grays Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Hitchin Town
vs
0.92
Grays Athletic
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.556.6%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
0-0
14.3%
0-1
14.0%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).