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08 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.9%
Coventry
23.7%
Draw
33.4%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Coventry

vs
1.24

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS53.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).