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AHT: 01CSV

16 Dec 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.6%
Gateshead
24.9%
Draw
50.5%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Gateshead

vs
1.81

Halifax

Markets

BTTS59.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.0%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.0%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).