Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.0%
Lugo
33.4%
Draw
48.6%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
Lugo
vs
1.06
Burgos
Markets
BTTS26.3%
Over 0.579.5%
Over 1.546.6%
Over 2.521.1%
Over 3.57.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
22.0%
0-0
20.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
6.0%
0-3
4.1%
2-1
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-2
1.6%
0-4
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).