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AHT: 02

05 Oct 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.6%
Bochum
25.1%
Draw
43.3%
Wolfsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Bochum

vs
1.70

Wolfsburg

Markets

BTTS63.0%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).