Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.6%
Notts County
16.0%
Draw
8.4%
Torquay
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Notts County
vs
0.79
Torquay
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
5.0%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
5-0
3.3%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).