Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Paris FC
23.9%
Draw
27.4%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Paris FC
vs
1.04
Angers
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).