Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Nott'm Forest
30.7%
Draw
36.3%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.27
Fulham
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).