Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Modena
26.5%
Draw
11.9%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Modena
vs
0.57
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
14.6%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
7.8%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-0
3.1%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).