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16 Aug 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.8%
Alanyaspor
32.6%
Draw
29.6%
Rizespor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Alanyaspor

vs
1.21

Rizespor

Markets

BTTS55.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.6%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
0-1
5.9%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).