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HHT: 10CSV

23 Jan 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.9%
Bari
30.7%
Draw
32.4%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Bari

vs
1.12

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).