⚽ FootballData
2 – 2
DHT: 10CSV

19 Sept 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
56.1%
Eastleigh
23.0%
Draw
20.9%
Oxford City

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Eastleigh

vs
1.17

Oxford City

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-0
4.9%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).