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HHT: 00CSV

16 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.4%
Shrewsbury
24.5%
Draw
54.1%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Shrewsbury

vs
1.47

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS41.3%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).