⚽ FootballData
3 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

02 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
38.1%
Dover Athletic
33.2%
Draw
28.7%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Dover Athletic

vs
0.90

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS40.2%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.0%
1-1
14.5%
1-0
13.8%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).