Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Ajaccio
28.6%
Draw
41.2%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Ajaccio
vs
1.10
Red Star
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.2%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).