Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Sarpsborg 08
23.8%
Draw
38.9%
Molde
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Sarpsborg 08
vs
1.55
Molde
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).