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AHT: 02CSV

10 Mar 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.8%
Blackpool
24.6%
Draw
31.5%
Tranmere

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Blackpool

vs
1.12

Tranmere

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).