Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Ath Bilbao
26.3%
Draw
20.7%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.88
Leganes
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).