Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Exeter
23.3%
Draw
16.3%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Exeter
vs
0.65
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.0%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
10.2%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).