Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.9%
Ascoli
33.8%
Draw
27.3%
Trapani
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Ascoli
vs
0.86
Trapani
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.559.0%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.7%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
14.2%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).