Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Mantova
30.2%
Draw
31.9%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Mantova
vs
1.14
Brescia
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).