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03 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.4%
Akron
23.0%
Draw
59.6%
Krasnodar

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Akron

vs
2.07

Krasnodar

Markets

BTTS58.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
8.0%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.5%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
2-3
3.6%
1-4
3.5%
1-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).