Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Maidenhead
22.7%
Draw
20.7%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Maidenhead
vs
1.18
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).