Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Sunderland
31.2%
Draw
24.5%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Sunderland
vs
0.87
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
13.9%
0-0
13.0%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).