Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.6%
St Pauli
19.8%
Draw
8.7%
Hansa Rostock
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
St Pauli
vs
0.62
Hansa Rostock
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
12.9%
3-0
10.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).