Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.1%
Sheffield Weds
15.9%
Draw
77.0%
Nantwich Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Sheffield Weds
vs
2.19
Nantwich Town
Markets
BTTS34.1%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
16.5%
0-1
15.3%
0-3
12.0%
1-2
8.0%
1-1
7.1%
0-0
6.6%
0-4
6.6%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
3.6%
1-4
3.2%
0-5
2.9%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).