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AHT: 11

14 Sept 2025 · 11:30

Gent

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.7%
Antwerp
27.4%
Draw
31.0%
Gent

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Antwerp

vs
1.17

Gent

Markets

BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).