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DHT: 01CSV

28 Feb 2021 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.1%
Lille
24.8%
Draw
35.1%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Lille

vs
1.26

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).