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20 Apr 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.3%
Leicester
26.7%
Draw
29.0%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Leicester

vs
1.25

West Brom

Markets

BTTS57.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).