Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Grimsby
25.8%
Draw
30.2%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Grimsby
vs
1.09
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).