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03 May 2026 · 00:00

Angers

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.0%
Auxerre
36.8%
Draw
27.1%
Angers

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Auxerre

vs
0.62

Angers

Markets

BTTS24.3%
Over 0.575.9%
Over 1.540.0%
Over 2.516.6%
Over 3.55.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
24.1%
1-0
19.8%
0-1
16.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
7.4%
0-2
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
3-0
1.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
0-3
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).