Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Casa Pia
29.0%
Draw
34.3%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Casa Pia
vs
1.23
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).