Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.9%
Mansfield
21.3%
Draw
20.8%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Mansfield
vs
1.04
Crewe
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.5%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).