Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.9%
Blackburn
28.2%
Draw
45.9%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Blackburn
vs
1.48
Southampton
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).