Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Benevento
26.7%
Draw
17.7%
Pordenone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Benevento
vs
0.83
Pordenone
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
6.2%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).