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19 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.4%
Rotherham
25.4%
Draw
55.2%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Rotherham

vs
1.41

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS37.0%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.1%
0-2
12.1%
0-0
11.1%
1-1
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).