Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.8%
Lorient
10.8%
Draw
6.4%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Lorient
vs
0.68
Caen
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
3-0
11.4%
1-0
8.6%
4-0
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
3-1
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
1-1
5.1%
5-0
4.8%
5-1
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).