Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Livorno
30.2%
Draw
24.4%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Livorno
vs
0.93
Benevento
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).