Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Udinese
24.4%
Draw
52.5%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Udinese
vs
1.62
Napoli
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).