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DHT: 31

12 Aug 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.0%
Hammarby
20.0%
Draw
12.0%
Brommapojkarna

Expected Goals (xG)

2.26

Hammarby

vs
0.87

Brommapojkarna

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
9.0%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.3%
4-0
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).