Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.0%
Dumbarton
23.2%
Draw
49.8%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Dumbarton
vs
1.95
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS65.4%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
4.3%
1-0
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).