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DHT: 10

30 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.8%
Sutton
19.5%
Draw
25.8%
Man United

Expected Goals (xG)

2.28

Sutton

vs
1.53

Man United

Markets

BTTS70.1%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.552.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
5.3%
3-2
5.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.6%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).