Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Rio Ave
26.4%
Draw
50.9%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Rio Ave
vs
1.61
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).