Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.0%
Birmingham
26.6%
Draw
48.4%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Birmingham
vs
1.61
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.7%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).