Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Malaga
21.8%
Draw
31.0%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Malaga
vs
1.53
Almeria
Markets
BTTS66.9%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.545.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).